FNUS75 KBYZ 141334
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SARPY CREEK...CROW FIRE & AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
734 AM MDT SAT JUL 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0715 MDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A LOT OF CLOUDS AROUND TODAY...ESPECIALLY THIS
MORNING. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER DUE TO THE CLOUD COVER.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING BUT
IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE MORNING ACTIVITY WILL STAY NORTH OF THE
SITE. MORE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORMS WILL BE WET WITH GUSTY WINDS.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING WITH SOME GUSTS TO 20
MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. A WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST WILL MOVE IN BY
LATE AFTERNOON. SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR WITH MORE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL BE PRIMARILY OUT OF THE
WEST ON SUNDAY. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS TO
AROUND 20 PERCENT BOTH TODAY AND SUNDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................22 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH. WIND GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS BECOMING WEST
                    LATE AFTERNOON TOWARD EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................41 PERCENT.
LAL.................4...16 TO 25 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HUMPHREY
REQUESTED BY...BRYCE ROGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120714.SARPY.01/BYZ