FNUS75 KCYS 150252
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAWMILL CANYON...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
852 PM MDT SAT JUL 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2030 MDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS EVENING MAY PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
AND SUDDEN WIND SHIFTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. OTHERWISE SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 GUSTING TO 20 MPH THIS EVENING BECOMING
SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE TONIGHT. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
RECOVER TO 55 TO 60 PERCENT BY LATE TONIGHT. HOT SUNDAY WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HUMIDITY VALUES
DROPPING TO AROUND 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE.

OF NOTE...ESTERBROOK RAWS MAY NOT BE COMPLETELY REPRESENTATIVE OF
CONDITIONS AT THE FIRE. CURRENTLY OTHER NON RAWS WEATHER SENSORS
NEAR THE FIRE INDICATING SOUTHEAST WINDS WHILE ESTERBROOK INDICATING
SOUTHWEST WINDS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH AND GUSTY BECOMING
                    SOUTH WEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (1800-107800 KNOT-FT).

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (30600-155100 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...LIEBL
REQUESTED BY...1AA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120714.SAWMI.01/CYS