FNUS75 KGJT 141516
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RIFLE AIR SHOW...RIFLE FIRE PROTECTION DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
916 AM MDT SAT JUL 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0839 MDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE DRY WEATHER HOLDING THROUGH THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. HOWEVER THERE WAS AN INCREASE IN MONSOONAL
MOISTURE TO WESTERN COLORADO OVERNIGHT SO EXPECT BUILDUPS TO BEGIN
OVER THE TERRAIN SURROUNDING THE AIRPORT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SHORT
RANGE MODELS ARE INDICATING STORMS ONCE AGAIN FIRING NEAR RIFLE
BY MID AFTERNOON. THE MAIN CONCERN AGAIN FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE
OUTFLOW WINDS WHICH WILL QUICKLY CHANGE WIND DIRECTIONS FOR FLIGHT
OPERATIONS...AND MAY AGAIN CONTAIN GUSTS OVER 40 MPH. ANY STORMS
THAT DO MOVE OVER THE AIRPORT WILL HAVE MORE OF A THREAT OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAINFALL AS WELL. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF
BY SUNSET BUT ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS MAY REMAIN IN THE VICINITY
OF THE AIRPORT THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH THE DAY WITH A FEW
                    BREAKS LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RE-DEVELOPING
                    BY 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH LATE MORNING THEN
                    BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 7 TO 12 MPH BY EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS NEAR
                    45 MPH POSSIBLE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2000 THEN A DECREASE IN
                    ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    MAY REMAIN IN THE VICINITY OF THE AIRPORT
                    THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 60 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    BY MID EVENING THEN LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN WHELAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20120714.RIFLE.01/GJT