FNUS75 KRIW 142327
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FONTENELLE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
527 PM MDT SAT JUL 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1648 MDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE MOIST SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THERE MAY BE A FEW MORNING SHOWERS THAT MOVE
THROUGH THE FIRE AREA. THEN ANOTHER ROUND OR TWO OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON BETWEEN 1400 AND 2000.
THEN THE ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE TO ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER SUNSET
SUNDAY NIGHT. THEN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING EXPECT MORE
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP OVER OR NEAR THE FIRE.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED MORNING RAIN SHOWERS.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN
                    1400 AND 2000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE DIRECTION AT 3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 1000.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 7 TO 12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 30 MPH EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    AROUND 20 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.61 PERCENT.

PRECIPITATION.......0.10 INCHES TO 0.20 INCHES.

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1400.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL SUNSET...
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER SUNSET.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 30 MPH EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
                    THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.30 PERCENT.

PRECIPITATION.......0.05 INCHES TO 0.10 INCHES.

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO FAIR AT SUNSET...THEN POOR BY MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING.
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE DIRECTION AT 3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 1000.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 7 TO 12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 30 MPH EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    AROUND 20 MPH.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.56 PERCENT.

PRECIPITATION.......0.15 INCHES TO 0.25 INCHES.

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1400.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS CHURCH
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120714.FONTE.01/RIW