FNUS75 KTFX 141702
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW PASS...USFS - GREAT FALLS DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1102 AM MDT SAT JUL 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1105 MDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE KEEP THE
AIRMASS RELATIVELY MOIST. INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED. WITH THE INCREASED MOISTURE...MOST THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD BE WET. BRISK WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP EARLY SUNDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BLANK
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS S COLLIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120714.ELBOW.01/TFX