FNUS73 KUNR 141646
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLLINS FIRE...CAMPBELL COUNTY FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1046 AM MDT SAT JUL 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1019 MDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS...

SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY BY THIS AFTERNOON AS AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN MONTANA. BREEZY SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
GUST TO 30-35 MPH AT TIMES. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH SOME DRY LIGHTNING EXPECTED.
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST 20 TO
                    25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................6.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10900 TO 11900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................6.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 TO 9100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BELTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120714.COLLI.01/UNR