FNUS73 KUNR 142148
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLLINS FIRE...CAMPBELL COUNTY FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
348 PM MDT SAT JUL 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1508 MDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS...AND POSSIBLE DRY
LIGHTNING...

.DISCUSSION...SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT WITH ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE FIRE AREA. THE CURRENT
STORMS TO THE EAST OF THE FIRE AREA ARE MOVING TO THE NORTH...AND
SHOULD REMAIN WELL EAST. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN
SOUTHERN WYOMING...AND IF THEY HOLD TOGETHER...COULD MOVE THROUGH
THE FIRE AREA IN 4 TO 5 HOURS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
MILD OVERNIGHT WITH POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY. SUNDAY WILL BE HOT AND
DRY AGAIN...WITH BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS. A RED FLAG WARNING WILL
BE IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM SUNDAY NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................6.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 TO 9100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BELTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120714.COLLI.02/UNR