FNUS75 KRIW 151306
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BILLY CREEK  2...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
706 AM MDT SUN JUL 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0650 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MONSOON MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS
THE FIRE AREA WITH VARIABLE CLOUD COVER AND SPOTTY SHOWERS AND A
THREAT OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.  THIS PATTERN WILL
HOLD THROUGH MONDAY.  MOISTURE WILL DECREASE SOME ON TUESDAY BUT THE
THREAT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN.  WEDNESDAY
WILL START TO DRY MORE SIGNIFICANTLY WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOWERS ANT THUNDERSTORMS.  RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DECREASE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...C.BAKER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS 22 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-57 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...C.BAKER
REQUESTED BY...LUKE FORTNER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120715.BILLY.01/RIW