FNUS75 KRIW 152341
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FONTENELLE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
541 PM MDT SUN JUL 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1653 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
THE MOISTURE REMAINING THROUGH TUESDAY. THE TYPICAL WIND WILL
DEVELOP LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON MONDAY
AND AGAIN TUESDAY. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
A LITTLE MORE WIDESPREAD MONDAY THAN SUNDAY. ON TUESDAY THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LOOKS TO BE A LITTLE LESS THAN MONDAY.
THEN ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON WEDNESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE DIRECTION AT 3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 0900.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 1200.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 35 MPH EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH AFTER 0900.
                    THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 13 TO 18 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER 1200.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.52 PERCENT.

RAINFALL............0.10 INCHES TO 0.20 INCHES.

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6500-7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1200...THEN VERY GOOD BY 1400.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 7 TO 11 MPH UNTIL SUNSET
                    WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER SUNSET.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 30 MPH EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND
                    20 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.  THEN BECOMING SOUTH TO
                    SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.19 PERCENT.

RAINALL.............0.05 INCHES TO 0.10 INCHES.

HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO FAIR AROUND SUNSET...THEN BECOMING
                    POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING.  BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 4 TO 7 MPH 0900.
                    THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT AT 8 TO 13 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS FROM 15 TO 20 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 35 MPH EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1000.
                    THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 13 TO 17 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS FROM 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER 1000.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.

RAINFALL............0.02 INCHES TO 0.07 INCHES.

HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000-8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH FOR THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1200...THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD
                    BY 1400.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 70 TO 75.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS CHURCH
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120715.FONTE.02/RIW