FNUS73 KUNR 151535
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLLINS FIRE...CAMPBELL COUNTY FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
935 AM MDT SUN JUL 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0859 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN EASTERN MONTANA WILL
BRING GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS TO THE FIRE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL
INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS ALONG
RIDGETOPS TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION
BY EARLY AFTERNOON...AND THEN TO THE NORTHWEST BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD
SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
NEAR ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 TO 10300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 TO 9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...RYAN FOX
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120715.COLLI.01/UNR