FNUS73 KUNR 151326
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLOW FIRE...HULETT FIRE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
726 AM MDT SUN JUL 15 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0715 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST MONTANA WILL
MOVE INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA TODAY. THIS WILL BRING GUSTY SOUTHWEST
WINDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH
NORTHEAST WYOMING LATE THIS EVENING...WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR
IN THE VICINITY OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 93.
RH..................MIN 20-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 22 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 TO 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30./
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 65-67.
RH..................MAX 60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS
REQUESTED BY...JASON PERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120715.HOLLO.01/UNR