FNUS75 KPUB 170942
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALDO CANYON...USFS - PSF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
342 AM MDT TUE JUL 17 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THE MONSOONAL STORM ACTIVITY MAY BE SOMEWHAT INHIBITED TODAY
BY DRY AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE
ENOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE SO THAT DAYTIME HEATING WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST
SCATTERED STORMS FOR THE BURN AREA...WITH RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM STORMS IN
THE ONE HALF TO ONE INCH RANGE. HIGH RESOLUTION COMPUTER FORECASTS SUGGEST TWO
ROUNDS OF STORMS...ONE EARLY AFTERNOON AROUND NOON TO 1 PM MDT...AND
ANOTHER LATE IN THE DAY...AROUND 5-7 PM. STORMS SHOULD INCREASE SOMEWHAT
ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE A BIT MORE DRY AIR MOVES IN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(65 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST AROUND 8
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 4 UNTIL 1200...THEN 5.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 0200...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 0500...THEN NORTHWEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN EAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 5.

$$
FORECASTER...ROSE
REQUESTED BY...PIDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120716.WALDO.02/PUB