FNUS75 KRIW 170144
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK...WBD-BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
744 PM MDT MON JUL 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1850 MDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT THE
FIRE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND BRIEF RAINFALL
WOULD BE THE MAIN THREATS ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY THROUGH 1400. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN WYOMING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AND MAY IMPACT THE FIRE AREA AFTER 1400 UNTIL 2100. GUSTY WIND
AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR WITH A STRONGER STORMS. WEDNESDAY
LOOKS DRIER AND WARMER WITH NO THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL MIDNIGHT. ISOLATED SHOWER POSSIBLE AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL 2200.  THEN NORTH TO
                    NORTHWEST AT 7 TO 12 MPH AFTER 2200.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 35 MPH EXPECTED
                    NEAR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2200.  THEN NORTH TO NORTHWEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 2200.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000-1500 AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2200.
                    THEN NORTH TO NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER 2200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR...BECOMING POOR AROUND MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. INCREASING CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE IN DIRECTION AT 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 0900.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    0900.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 35 MPH EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1000.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 1000.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000-9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR BY 1000...THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD
                    BY 1500.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL SUNSET...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY.  ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 8 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2100.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 7 TO 11 MPH AFTER 2100.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000-1500 AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2100.
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 2100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR BY 2100...BECOMING POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE IN DIRECTION AT 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 0900.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    0900.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1000.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 1000.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000-10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD BY 1200...THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD
                    BY 1500.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...CDC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120716.TROUT.01/RIW