FNUS71 KRNK 162110
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR LEVELS FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
510 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1622 EDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MINIMAL CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM TONIGHT...AND IF SOMETHING DOES
DEVELOP IT SHOULD QUICKLY MOVE OUT OF THE REGION. TROPICAL LIKE
AIRMASS WILL KEEP RH HIGH AND DEWPOINTS AROUND 70 DEGREES...POSSIBLY
TO 75 DEGREES OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT BUT MAY SWITCH MORE TO
THE N OR NE AT TIMES OVERNIGHT CONSIDERING THE ORIENTATION OF THE
VALLEY NEARBY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......15 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 AGL EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN FALLING
                    TO 300 FT AGL TONIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH...BECOMING WEST 3 TO 6
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 0 TO 3 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    EARLY MORNING...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 5 TO
                    10 MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............20     30     30     20     15     15
WEATHER COV.........S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............S CHC
TEMP................84     79     73     71     70     69
RH..................60     70     78     82     85     85
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 3   NW 2   NW 2   NW 2   NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5      5
CWR.................15     15     5      5      5      5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............21     22     24     29     42     44
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................69     71     76     80     83     85
RH..................85     77     71     65     57     51
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 5   W 5    W 4    W 3    W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     5      5
CWR.................0      10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...MATTAROCHIA
REQUESTED BY...JEFF CLEEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120716.LEVEL.01/RNK