FNUS75 KBOU 191119 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER MNT WILDFIRE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 530 AM MDT THU JUL 19 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A HOT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER COLORADO FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT. TODAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER AND DRIER. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE STORMS IS WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1000...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-82. MIN HUMIDITY........26-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 0-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 5-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 12000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-51. MAX HUMIDITY........62-72%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 2100 AND BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-82. MIN HUMIDITY........22-26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 0900 AND 10000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAVER MNT WILDFIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/19-05 20 2 0 50 63 W 5 5 2 1 W12 155 SW 5 580 P 07/19-06 24 2 0 49 61 W 5 5 2 1 W10 154 W 6 696 P 07/19-07 24 2 0 53 53 W 3 3 2 1 W 9 1212 W 6 5409 P 07/19-08 24 2 0 57 49 SW 2 2 2 1 SW 8 2271 W 5 10121 P 07/19-09 24 2 0 62 45 SW 2 2 2 1 SW 7 3330 W 5 14834 P 07/19-10 34 2 0 67 39 SW 3 3 2 1 W 7 6254 W 5 19524 P 07/19-11 34 2 0 72 33 SE 5 5 2 1 W 7 9177 NW 3 24214 P 07/19-12 51 22 4 75 30 E 6 6 2 3 W 7 12100 NW 2 28904 P 07/19-13 51 22 4 77 28 SE 6 6 2 3 W 7 12344 W 2 22132 P 07/19-14 51 22 4 78 28 SE 7 7 2 3 NW 6 12588 CALM 15359 P 07/19-15 51 35 13 78 29 SE 7 7 2 4 NW 5 12832 CALM 8587 P 07/19-16 68 35 13 78 30 SE 7 7 2 4 W 3 12439 S 2 19750 P 07/19-17 68 35 13 77 31 SE 7 7 2 4 S 2 12045 S 3 30913 P 07/19-18 68 36 14 76 34 S 8 8 2 4 S 2 11652 S 5 42076 F 07/19-19 68 36 14 73 37 S 7 7 2 4 S 3 9277 S 5 36951 P 07/19-20 71 36 14 69 41 S 6 6 2 4 S 6 6903 S 6 31826 P 07/19-21 71 21 4 65 46 S 6 6 2 3 S 8 4528 S 7 26702 P 07/19-22 71 21 4 62 50 S 5 5 2 3 S 9 3095 S 7 18189 P 07/19-23 71 21 4 60 53 SW 5 5 2 3 SW 9 1662 S 6 9676 P 07/20-00 46 0 0 57 56 SW 3 3 2 1 SW 9 229 SW 6 1164 P 07/20-01 46 0 0 55 58 SW 5 5 2 1 SW10 205 SW 6 1034 P 07/20-02 46 0 0 54 60 SW 5 5 2 1 SW10 181 SW 6 904 P 07/20-03 46 0 0 52 61 SW 5 5 2 1 S10 157 W 6 774 P 07/20-04 46 0 0 51 64 SW 5 5 2 1 S12 152 W 6 735 P 07/20-05 46 0 0 50 67 W 5 5 2 1 S13 147 W 6 697 P 07/20-06 29 7 1 50 67 W 5 5 2 1 S14 142 W 6 658 P 07/20-07 29 7 1 52 63 SW 5 5 2 1 S15 1641 SW 5 6573 P 07/20-08 29 7 1 57 55 SW 3 3 2 1 S16 3139 SW 5 12488 P 07/20-09 29 7 1 68 38 SW 2 2 2 1 S17 4638 SW 5 18403 P 07/20-10 29 7 1 74 31 SW 2 2 5 1 S10 7437 SW 3 26674 P 07/20-11 29 7 1 77 27 S 2 2 5 1 SW 9 10454 S 5 43331 F 07/20-12 66 31 10 80 24 SE 3 3 5 4 SW 8 13471 S 5 59988 F 07/20-13 66 31 10 80 25 SE 5 5 5 4 SW 8 12435 S 6 56814 F 07/20-14 66 31 10 77 29 SE 5 5 5 4 SW 9 11399 S 6 53640 F 07/20-15 66 31 10 75 32 SE 6 6 5 4 W 9 10363 S 6 50467 F 07/20-16 66 31 10 74 34 SE 7 7 5 4 W 8 9836 S 6 50052 F 07/20-17 66 31 10 75 33 SE 7 7 5 4 W 7 9310 S 6 49636 F 07/20-18 66 31 10 75 35 SE 7 7 5 4 W 6 8783 S 7 49221 F 07/20-19 66 31 10 73 36 SE 6 6 5 4 SW 7 6168 S 6 34117 P 07/20-20 66 31 10 69 41 S 6 6 5 4 S 8 3552 S 6 19013 P 07/20-21 66 31 10 64 46 SW 5 5 5 4 S10 937 SW 5 3909 P 07/20-22 66 31 10 62 48 SW 5 5 4 4 S10 686 SW 5 2899 P 07/20-23 66 31 10 60 50 SW 6 6 4 4 S10 436 SW 6 1890 P 07/21-00 29 0 0 58 54 SW 6 6 4 1 S10 185 SW 6 880 P 07/21-01 29 0 0 56 57 SW 6 6 4 1 S10 174 SW 5 780 P 07/21-02 29 0 0 54 60 W 6 6 4 1 SW12 163 W 5 680 P 07/21-03 29 0 0 54 61 W 6 6 4 1 SW12 152 W 5 580 P 07/21-04 29 0 0 53 62 W 7 7 4 1 SW10 150 W 5 616 P 07/21-05 29 0 0 53 63 W 7 7 4 1 SW 8 149 W 5 652 P 07/21-06 41 0 0 52 65 W 7 7 4 1 SW 7 147 W 6 688 P 07/21-07 41 0 0 54 60 W 6 6 4 1 SW 6 1531 NW 5 2483 P 07/21-08 41 0 0 60 50 NW 3 3 4 1 W 5 2916 N 3 4278 P 07/21-09 41 0 0 67 39 NW 2 2 5 1 W 3 4301 CALM 6074 P 07/21-10 41 0 0 72 32 N 2 2 5 1 W 2 6929 NE 2 12461 P 07/21-11 41 0 0 75 30 E 2 2 5 1 CALM 9558 SE 2 18848 P 07/21-12 66 31 10 78 28 E 3 3 5 4 CALM 12186 SE 2 25235 P 07/21-13 66 31 10 78 28 E 5 5 5 4 SW 2 11438 SE 3 29747 P 07/21-14 66 31 10 75 32 E 6 6 5 4 S 3 10691 SE 3 34260 P 07/21-15 66 31 10 73 35 E 6 6 5 4 S 5 9943 SE 5 38773 P 07/21-16 66 31 10 72 38 E 5 5 5 4 S 6 9054 SE 6 39933 P 07/21-17 66 31 10 73 38 E 2 2 5 4 S 8 8165 SE 6 41093 F 07/21-18 66 31 10 72 39 CALM 1 5 4 S 9 7276 SE 7 42252 F 07/21-19 66 31 10 71 41 CALM 1 5 4 S10 5177 SE 6 29306 P 07/21-20 66 31 10 67 46 CALM 1 5 4 S10 3077 SE 5 16360 P 07/21-21 66 31 10 63 51 CALM 1 5 4 S12 978 SE 3 3414 P 07/21-22 66 31 10 61 54 CALM 1 4 4 S12 726 E 3 2424 P 07/21-23 66 31 10 59 57 CALM 1 4 4 S13 473 E 3 1435 P 07/22-00 32 18 4 57 61 CALM 1 4 3 S13 221 E 2 445 P 07/22-01 32 18 4 55 64 CALM 1 4 3 S13 221 CALM 322 P 07/22-02 32 18 4 54 66 SW 2 2 4 3 SW12 220 CALM 199 P 07/22-03 32 18 4 53 67 SW 2 2 4 3 SW10 220 CALM 76 P 07/22-04 32 18 4 53 69 W 2 2 3 3 SW 8 201 CALM 203 P 07/22-05 32 18 4 52 71 W 3 3 3 3 W 6 182 W 2 330 P 07/22-06 57 18 4 52 73 W 3 3 3 3 W 3 163 W 3 457 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...DOUG WATRY REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120718.BEAVE.02/BOU