FNUS75 KBOU 181327 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SAR UPPER BEAVER MEADOWS...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 727 AM MDT WED JUL 18 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON BEGINNING AROUND NOON OR 1 PM. MOST STORMS WILL PRODUCE MODERATE RAIN AND OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH. THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND PEA SIZED HAIL. A FEW STORMS WILL LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS AND COME TO AN END BY SUNSET. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-82. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11400-12400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SAR UPPER BEAVER MEADOWS. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/18-07 25 6 1 54 59 W 5 5 4 1 W15 2023 W 5 5188 P 07/18-08 25 6 1 58 54 W 2 2 4 1 W15 3815 W 3 9257 P 07/18-09 26 6 1 62 49 CALM 1 4 1 W15 5608 W 2 13326 P 07/18-10 26 6 1 67 41 SW 2 2 4 1 W16 7793 W 5 33095 P 07/18-11 26 6 1 71 34 SE 5 5 4 1 W18 9978 W 6 52864 F 07/18-12 63 38 16 74 31 SE 6 6 4 4 W20 12162 W 7 72633 G 07/18-13 63 38 16 76 30 SE 8 13 4 4 W18 12247 SW 7 67451 G 07/18-14 63 38 16 76 30 SE 9 15 4 4 W16 12331 SW 6 62268 G 07/18-15 65 41 18 76 30 SE10 16 4 4 W14 12415 SW 6 57085 F 07/18-16 65 41 18 76 31 SE12 17 4 4 W12 11823 SW 7 66398 G 07/18-17 65 41 18 76 33 SE12 17 4 4 W 8 11230 SW 8 75710 G 07/18-18 61 36 14 74 35 SE10 17 4 4 W 6 10637 SW 9 85022 G 07/18-19 61 36 14 72 38 S10 16 4 4 SW 5 8929 SW 8 68304 G 07/18-20 61 36 14 68 43 S 9 15 4 4 SW 5 7222 SW 8 51585 F 07/18-21 61 17 3 64 47 SW 8 13 4 3 SW 3 5515 SW 7 34867 P 07/18-22 61 17 3 61 49 SW 7 7 4 3 SW 3 3767 SW 7 23628 P 07/18-23 61 17 3 59 51 SW 6 6 4 3 SW 3 2020 SW 6 12390 P 07/19-00 37 9 2 57 53 W 5 5 4 1 SW 5 273 SW 5 1151 P 07/19-01 37 9 2 55 55 W 5 5 4 1 SW 6 237 SW 5 990 P 07/19-02 37 9 2 54 58 W 5 5 4 1 SW 7 202 W 5 828 P 07/19-03 28 6 1 53 60 W 5 5 4 1 SW 8 166 W 5 667 P 07/19-04 28 6 1 52 62 W 5 5 4 1 SW 9 159 W 5 589 P 07/19-05 28 6 1 51 64 W 3 3 3 1 SW 9 151 W 3 512 P 07/19-06 35 6 1 51 65 W 3 3 2 1 SW 9 144 W 3 434 P 07/19-07 35 6 1 52 62 W 3 3 2 1 SW 9 2172 SW 3 5274 P 07/19-08 35 6 1 56 57 SW 2 2 2 1 SW 8 4201 SW 3 10114 P 07/19-09 35 5 1 69 37 SW 2 2 2 1 SW 7 6230 SW 2 14954 P 07/19-10 35 5 1 74 31 SW 3 3 4 1 SW 6 8369 SW 3 23695 P 07/19-11 35 5 1 77 28 S 5 5 5 1 SW 6 10509 S 3 32437 P 07/19-12 65 40 18 78 26 SE 6 6 5 4 SW 5 12648 S 3 41178 F 07/19-13 65 40 18 78 28 SE 6 6 5 4 SW 3 11550 S 5 44357 F 07/19-14 65 40 18 75 31 S 5 5 4 4 SW 2 10453 S 6 47536 F 07/19-15 65 40 18 74 34 S 5 5 4 4 SW 2 9355 S 6 50714 F 07/19-16 65 40 18 74 35 S 6 6 4 4 SW 2 8914 S 7 56009 F 07/19-17 65 40 18 75 35 S 8 13 4 4 SW 5 8473 S 8 61305 G 07/19-18 67 29 8 74 37 S 9 15 4 4 S 6 8031 S 9 66600 G 07/19-19 67 29 8 72 39 S 8 14 4 4 SW 7 6183 S10 52177 F 07/19-20 67 29 8 68 44 S 7 7 4 4 SW 8 4335 S10 37755 P 07/19-21 67 29 8 64 50 S 6 6 4 4 SW 9 2487 S10 23333 P 07/19-22 67 29 8 61 53 S 5 5 4 4 SW 9 1746 S 9 16088 P 07/19-23 67 29 8 60 54 S 5 5 4 4 S 9 1005 S 8 8843 P 07/20-00 40 15 3 58 56 S 5 5 4 3 S 8 264 S 7 1599 P 07/20-01 40 15 3 57 57 SW 5 5 4 3 S 7 241 S 6 1334 P 07/20-02 40 15 3 55 59 SW 5 5 4 3 S 6 219 SW 6 1069 P 07/20-03 40 15 3 54 60 W 5 5 4 3 S 5 197 SW 5 804 P 07/20-04 40 15 3 53 62 W 5 5 4 3 S 5 182 SW 5 763 P 07/20-05 40 15 3 53 63 W 5 5 4 3 S 6 168 SW 5 723 P 07/20-06 45 6 1 53 64 W 5 5 4 1 S 8 154 SW 5 683 P 07/20-07 45 6 1 56 58 W 5 5 4 1 S 8 2001 SW 5 6278 P 07/20-08 45 6 1 63 47 W 3 3 4 1 S 8 3849 SW 5 11874 P 07/20-09 45 6 1 69 39 W 3 3 4 1 S 8 5696 SW 3 17469 P 07/20-10 45 6 1 74 32 SW 3 3 4 1 S 8 7898 SW 3 27448 P 07/20-11 45 6 1 77 30 S 5 5 5 1 SW 8 10099 S 5 37426 P 07/20-12 55 34 13 78 28 SE 6 6 5 4 SW 8 12301 S 5 47404 F 07/20-13 55 34 13 78 28 SE 7 7 5 4 SW 9 10423 S 6 48141 F 07/20-14 55 34 13 75 32 SE 8 13 5 4 W 9 8545 S 7 48877 F 07/20-15 55 34 13 73 35 SE 8 13 5 4 W 9 6668 S 8 49614 F 07/20-16 55 34 13 74 36 SE 7 7 5 4 SW 9 6435 S 9 50236 F 07/20-17 55 34 13 75 36 SE 6 6 4 4 SW 8 6203 S 9 50859 F 07/20-18 53 25 5 73 38 S 5 5 4 3 SW 7 5971 S10 51481 F 07/20-19 53 25 5 71 40 S 3 3 4 3 SW 7 4115 S 8 34909 P 07/20-20 53 25 5 68 44 S 2 2 4 3 SW 8 2260 S 7 18337 P 07/20-21 53 25 5 63 49 SW 2 2 4 3 S 8 405 S 5 1765 P 07/20-22 53 25 5 61 52 SW 2 2 4 3 SW 9 335 S 5 1419 P 07/20-23 53 25 5 60 53 SW 3 3 5 3 SW 9 265 SW 5 1072 P 07/21-00 40 14 3 58 56 SW 3 3 5 2 SW 9 195 SW 5 726 P 07/21-01 40 14 3 56 58 SW 3 3 5 2 SW 8 181 SW 5 710 P 07/21-02 40 14 3 55 60 W 5 5 5 2 W 7 166 SW 5 695 P 07/21-03 40 14 3 54 62 W 5 5 5 2 W 6 151 SW 5 679 P 07/21-04 40 14 3 53 65 W 5 5 5 2 W 5 147 W 5 642 P 07/21-05 40 14 3 53 65 W 5 5 5 2 NW 3 143 W 5 606 P 07/21-06 40 20 4 52 66 W 5 5 5 3 CALM 138 W 5 569 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RICH BROWNE REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20120718.SARUP.01/BOU