FNUS75 KBOU 201000 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER MOUNTAIN FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 359 AM MDT FRI JUL 20 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER EASTERN COLORADO WITH WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. ENOUGH SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL EXIST OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1000...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10400-11400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........67%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0-4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9600-10600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAVER MOUNTAINFIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/20-03 20 0 0 51 59 S 7 7 3 1 S10 135 S 7 873 P 07/20-04 20 0 0 51 58 SW 8 8 3 1 S12 143 SW 8 977 P 07/20-05 20 0 0 52 55 SW 8 13 3 1 S12 150 SW 8 1082 P 07/20-06 32 8 2 52 56 SW 8 13 3 1 S13 157 SW 9 1186 P 07/20-07 32 8 2 52 56 SW 7 7 3 1 S14 1206 SW 8 7349 P 07/20-08 32 8 2 55 51 W 6 6 3 1 S14 2254 W 7 13512 P 07/20-09 32 8 2 61 41 W 5 5 3 1 S14 3302 W 7 19674 P 07/20-10 51 8 2 69 32 SW 3 3 4 1 S15 6431 SW 6 31966 P 07/20-11 51 8 2 72 29 S 3 3 4 1 S15 9561 SW 6 44258 F 07/20-12 65 34 13 74 28 S 3 3 5 4 S15 12690 SW 5 56550 F 07/20-13 65 34 13 76 26 S 5 5 5 4 SW15 12174 SW 5 49224 F 07/20-14 66 34 13 75 27 SE 6 6 5 4 SW14 11658 S 5 41898 F 07/20-15 66 34 13 72 30 SE 7 7 5 4 W13 11142 S 3 34572 P 07/20-16 66 34 13 68 35 SE 7 7 5 4 W12 10466 S 3 33030 P 07/20-17 66 34 13 66 36 SE 7 7 4 4 W 9 9791 S 3 31488 P 07/20-18 71 36 14 66 36 SE 6 6 4 4 W 7 9115 S 3 29946 P 07/20-19 71 36 14 64 40 S 5 5 4 4 W 6 7244 S 6 28308 P 07/20-20 71 36 14 62 42 S 3 3 4 4 SW 5 5374 S 7 26670 P 07/20-21 71 36 14 63 41 S 3 3 4 4 S 6 3503 S 8 25032 P 07/20-22 71 36 14 60 46 SW 5 5 4 4 S 7 2456 SW 8 17427 P 07/20-23 71 36 14 58 48 SW 5 5 3 4 S 8 1408 SW 7 9823 P 07/21-00 39 0 0 56 52 W 6 6 3 1 S10 361 W 7 2219 P 07/21-01 39 0 0 54 56 W 6 6 3 1 S12 297 W 6 1687 P 07/21-02 39 0 0 52 58 W 5 5 4 1 SW13 233 W 6 1156 P 07/21-03 39 0 0 51 61 W 5 5 4 1 SW14 170 W 5 624 P 07/21-04 39 0 0 50 64 W 5 5 4 1 SW13 158 W 5 602 P 07/21-05 39 0 0 50 64 W 6 6 4 1 W12 147 W 5 581 P 07/21-06 41 0 0 49 66 W 6 6 4 1 W 9 136 W 5 559 P 07/21-07 41 0 0 49 67 W 5 5 3 1 W 8 1027 W 3 2437 P 07/21-08 41 0 0 52 61 W 3 3 3 1 W 7 1917 N 3 4315 P 07/21-09 41 0 0 59 49 CALM 1 3 1 W 6 2808 N 2 6193 P 07/21-10 41 0 0 68 36 CALM 1 4 1 W 3 5940 N 2 9920 P 07/21-11 41 0 0 71 33 NE 2 2 4 1 W 2 9071 NW 2 13646 P 07/21-12 70 34 13 73 30 E 3 3 4 4 SW 3 12203 CALM 17373 P 07/21-13 70 34 13 75 28 E 3 3 4 4 SW 7 11551 NW 2 22742 P 07/21-14 70 34 13 74 30 E 2 2 4 4 SW12 10898 W 3 28111 P 07/21-15 70 34 13 71 34 E 2 2 4 4 SW16 10246 W 3 33480 P 07/21-16 70 34 13 67 42 E 2 2 4 4 SW16 9611 W 5 33751 P 07/21-17 70 34 13 66 45 S 2 2 4 4 SW15 8976 SW 5 34022 P 07/21-18 67 34 13 65 46 S 2 2 4 4 SW14 8341 SW 5 34293 P 07/21-19 67 34 13 63 49 S 3 3 4 4 SW12 6098 SW 6 25829 P 07/21-20 67 34 13 62 50 SW 6 6 4 4 SW10 3856 SW 6 17364 P 07/21-21 67 34 13 61 52 SW 7 7 4 4 S 9 1614 SW 7 8899 P 07/21-22 67 34 13 56 59 S 7 7 4 4 S10 1143 SW 6 6140 P 07/21-23 67 34 13 54 63 S 6 6 4 4 S13 672 S 5 3381 P 07/22-00 55 20 4 51 70 S 5 5 4 3 S15 202 S 3 622 P 07/22-01 55 20 4 49 75 S 5 5 4 3 S17 185 S 3 562 P 07/22-02 55 20 4 48 75 SW 5 5 4 3 SW20 168 S 3 502 P 07/22-03 55 20 4 48 77 SW 5 5 3 3 SW21 151 SW 3 442 P 07/22-04 55 20 4 48 75 SW 5 5 3 3 SW18 150 SW 3 474 P 07/22-05 55 20 4 49 71 SW 5 5 3 3 SW15 148 SW 3 506 P 07/22-06 61 20 4 48 73 SW 5 5 3 3 W12 147 SW 5 537 P 07/22-07 61 20 4 49 74 SW 3 3 3 3 SW 8 1027 SW 3 2484 P 07/22-08 61 20 4 52 68 S 2 2 3 3 SW 6 1907 S 3 4431 P 07/22-09 61 20 4 59 54 CALM 1 3 3 SW 5 2788 S 2 6378 P 07/22-10 61 20 4 67 39 SE 2 2 4 3 S 6 5999 S 5 29338 P 07/22-11 61 20 4 70 35 SE 3 3 4 3 S 7 9211 S 6 52299 F 07/22-12 73 41 18 72 31 SE 5 5 4 4 S 9 12422 S 7 75260 G 07/22-13 73 41 18 75 29 SE 5 5 4 4 S12 11812 S 7 70278 G 07/22-14 73 41 18 73 31 SE 5 5 4 4 S14 11202 S 7 65295 G 07/22-15 73 41 18 71 36 SE 3 3 4 4 S15 10592 S 7 60313 G 07/22-16 73 41 18 66 43 SE 3 3 4 4 S13 10073 S 6 54027 F 07/22-17 73 41 18 65 46 S 2 2 4 4 S12 9554 SE 6 47742 F 07/22-18 73 43 20 65 47 S 2 2 4 4 S10 9035 E 6 41457 F 07/22-19 73 43 20 63 50 S 2 2 4 4 S13 6394 E 5 28885 P 07/22-20 73 43 20 62 51 CALM 1 4 4 S16 3753 E 5 16312 P 07/22-21 73 43 20 60 53 CALM 1 3 4 S20 1112 E 3 3740 P 07/22-22 73 43 20 55 60 CALM 1 3 4 S20 810 SE 3 2552 P 07/22-23 73 43 20 53 65 SW 2 2 3 4 SW18 507 S 2 1363 P 07/23-00 48 16 3 49 73 SW 2 2 3 3 SW17 205 CALM 174 P 07/23-01 48 16 3 48 76 SW 2 2 3 3 SW17 184 S 2 276 P 07/23-02 48 16 3 47 77 W 3 3 3 3 SW18 163 SW 3 377 P 07/23-03 48 16 3 46 77 W 3 3 3 3 W18 142 W 3 478 P 07/23-04 48 16 3 47 76 W 3 3 4 3 W17 138 W 5 511 P 07/23-05 48 16 3 48 71 W 5 5 4 3 SW16 134 W 5 543 P 07/23-06 57 31 10 47 72 W 5 5 4 4 SW14 131 W 5 575 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JEFF SINGER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120719.BEAVE.01/BOU