FNUS72 KMFL 191041
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CORBETT...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
641 AM EDT THU JUL 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS WILL GIVE AN EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND OVER THE
AREA WHICH MAY BE AFFECTED BY A LAKE BREEZE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BUT
PROBABLY NOT A FACTOR. BUT...A FEW SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS MAY
DEVELOP ALONG THE LAKE WHICH MAY PUT OUT AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. TO THE
WEST OF THE LAKE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND BLOW OFF
FROM THE STORMS TO THE WEST AN THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS WILL AFFECT
DISPERSION AND MIXING LATE IN THE DAY.

MINIMAL FOG MAY OCCUR TONIGHT IF SOME RAIN FALLS ON THE BURN AREA.

DISPERSION WILL BE POOR TO FAIR AT IGNITION TIME BUT IMPROVE SOMEWHAT
INTO THE GENERALLY GOOD CATEGORY BY MID AFTERNOON. BUT INCREASING CLOUDINESS
AS PER ABOVE IN THE FIRST PARAGRAPH MAY HAMPER THE AFTERNOON DISPERSION.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HAZE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25 INCREASING TO 43 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........10     10     30     30     30     30
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............80     88     92     92     92     87
RH..............88     68     58     58     58     65
20 FT WIND......S 4    SE 4   SE 4   SE 5   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   4500   4500   5000   4500   4500
MIXNG WIND......S 7    SE 7   SE 7   SE 8   SE 9   SE 9
DISPERSION IDX..25     39     39     45     46     46
LVORI...........4      1      1      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. HAZE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. HAZE IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 INCREASING TO 48 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...GENE COLWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120719.CORBE.01/MFL