FNUS72 KMHX 191118 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN PILES...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 718 AM EDT THU JUL 19 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SW WINDS WILL GUST TO 15 TO 19 MPH TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE EAST COAST...AND LOW PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL CAROLINAS PRODUCE A PRESSURE GRADIENT. SOME ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY. IF A STORM DOES HAPPEN TO FORM...WINDS COULD BE RATHER STRONG AND VARIABLE. MINUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND 60 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............32 48 59 60 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................85 89 91 90 RH..................67 61 60 60 20 FT WIND..........SW 9 SW 10 SW 11 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 LVORI...............3 1 1 1 ADI.................28 63 66 66 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............62 63 58 62 65 65 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ISOLTD TEMP................88 84 81 79 78 77 RH..................61 67 77 79 79 82 20 FT WIND..........SW 9 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 10 10 15 LVORI...............1 1 3 4 4 4 ADI.................64 51 23 12 11 11 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............65 65 67 69 70 73 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................76 78 83 88 89 89 RH..................87 85 72 63 61 61 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 9 SW 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............5 4 3 1 1 1 ADI.................11 11 19 49 57 57 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...ED CHRISTOPHER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120719.BURNP.01/MHX