FNUS73 KUNR 192218
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER CREEK...CROOK CO DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
418 PM MDT THU JUL 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1605 MDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
EVENING...THEN LIGHT TERRAIN DOMINATED/DOWNSLOPE OVERNIGHT. MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY FALL TO AROUND 67 DEGREES WITH MAXIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AROUND 47 PERCENT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 101.
RH..................MIN 17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 67.
RH..................MAX 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH GRADUALLY BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    THROUGH THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    TERRAIN DOMINATED/DOWNSLOPE AFTER MIDNIGHT...
                    THEN LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY TOWARD SUNRISE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH GRADUALLY BECOMING EAST AROUND 10
                    MPH THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 92.
RH..................MIN 21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 13 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 TO 10200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...GR
REQUESTED BY...CHERYL LYNN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120719.DEERC.01/UNR