FNUS73 KUNR 200414
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DONOVAN FIRE COMPLEX...BENNETT CO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1014 PM MDT THU JUL 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2225 MDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH
THE BEST CHANCE BEFORE MIDNIGHT. VARIABLE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT AT 13 TO 18 MPH.
A FEW GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE.
TEMPERATURE.........82 AT IGNITION...MIN 72.
RH..................MAX 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
                    PREVAILING WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY AT 13 TO 18 MPH.                    A FEW GU
                    GUSTS UP T0 30 MPH POSSIBLE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 106.
RH..................MIN 18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHERLY WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15300 TO 16300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 14
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD EARLY IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...GR
REQUESTED BY...BENNETT CO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120719.DONOV.02/UNR