FNUS75 KGJT 201549
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR 47 CREEK...MONTROSE DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
949 AM MDT FRI JUL 20 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0919 MDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED ON THE COLORADO-
KANSAS BORDER BUT EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TO THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY. THE DEEPEST MOISTURE IS TO THE WEST OF THE FIRE
SITE BUT THERE IS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING STORMS. STORM MOTION WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHEAST AT 12 MPH. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. WITH NO UPPER LEVEL FORCING
EVIDENT...STORMS WILL LIKELY END WITH SUNSET.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 3-8 MPH
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY (EAST) 1-5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...DAVID TURNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120720.47CRE.01/GJT