FNUS75 KGJT 201747
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSH CREEK...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1147 AM MDT FRI JUL 20 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1124 MDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH CENTER IS TO THE EAST OF THE
FIRE SITE... THEN BUILDS IN TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE FIRE SITE ON
SATURDAY. THE DEEPEST MOISTURE IS TO THE WEST OF THE FIRE SITE
BUT THERE IS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND
EVENING STORMS. STORM MOTION THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AT 12 MPH. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS IS LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. STORMS WILL END WITH
SUNSET. MOISTURE DIMINISHES SOMEWHAT ON SATURDAY AND THE FLOW ALOFT
SHIFTS FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST. TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL ABOVE
NORMAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/NORTHEAST WINDS 2-7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...AND INCREASING TO 4-8
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...BRUSH CREEK FIRE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120720.BRUSH.01/GJT