FNUS75 KGJT 210407
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF DEN...UT-VLD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1007 PM MDT FRI JUL 20 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1800 MDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO BE RELATIVELY MOIST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS MONSOONAL MOISTURE ROTATES AROUND A HIGH
CENTER TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE TREND HAS BEEN FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING TO BE THE MOST ACTIVE PERIOD FOR STORMS. AND I EXPECT
A REPEAT IN CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY. CONVECTION ON SUNDAY MAY BEGIN
A LITTLE EARLIER...WITH A TAD MORE MOISTURE. TEMPERATURES ON
SATURDAY ARE AGAIN EXPECTED TO BE QUITE HIGH DUE TO THE GOOD
DAYTIME HEATING EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MORE CLOUDS ON SUNDAY WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES LOWER.

.SATURDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%) IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...INCREASING
                    TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL MID
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 450.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2...BECOMING 4 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 12100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.SATURDAY NIGHT (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%) AFTER MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...
                    THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH. AT TIMES
                    DOMINATED BY GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW
                    WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......DECREASING TO 50 BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%)....BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (70-80%) IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 650 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 12700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MORGAN WHITEING
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120720.WOLFD.01/GJT