FNUS73 KLBF 230324 FWSLBF SPOT FORECAST FOR FAIRFIELD CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 1024 PM CDT SUN JUL 22 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0900 CDT ON JULY 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT TUESDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY... .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND STALL ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF THE S DAKOTA BORDER ON MONDAY. AS SUCH...SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL ONCE AGAIN BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE FIRE PARAMETER WITH PEAK WIND GUST POTENTIAL OF 25 MPH OR GREATER MONDAY AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONCE AGAIN PLUMMET SOUTH OF THE FRONT /BELOW 15 PERCENT/ OVER THE FIRE PARAMETER AS TEMPERATURES WARM TO ABNORMAL VALUES /104-108F/. NOTE THAT THE CURRENT FORECAST INDICATES A HAINES INDEX OF 6 FOR THE FIRE. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...INCLUDING THE FIRE ZONE. MONDAY EVENING...CONVECTION MAY FIRE ACROSS NORTHWEST NEBRASKA AND/OR SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA...WHILE DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED OVER THE FIRE PARAMETER...GUSTY ERRATIC OUTFLOW MAY BECOME PROBLEMATIC. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. LAL.................3. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........53 56 55 48 40 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 80 77 74 72 RH..............44 58 69 76 76 20 FT WIND......E 5 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 5 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 EYE LEVEL WIND.. 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 104. MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. LAL.................1 INCREASING TO 3 IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5700 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 9700 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 13500-13700 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1800...THEN 6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO VERY GOOD LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........38 33 27 22 26 32 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............71 81 90 97 102 103 RH..............76 44 31 25 20 20 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 6 S 7 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 20 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 5 S 6 S 7 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 EYE LEVEL WIND.. 10 15 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 $$ FORECASTER...JACOBS REQUESTED BY...GLEN LEWIS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120720.FAIRF.03/LBF