FNUS75 KBOU 212247 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DERRINGER FIRE...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 447 PM MDT SAT JUL 21 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN CENTERED JUST EAST OF THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUATION OF UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER...ENOUGH MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALSO LEAD TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE WERE STORMS IN THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON...SO BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND LIGHTNING FROM APPROACHING OR DEVELOPING STORMS. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL CONFORM TO MAINLY LIGHT AND NORMAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS THROUGH MONDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12600-12800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55. MAX HUMIDITY........54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...DECREASING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000 UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11400-12400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900... THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DERRINGER FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/21-16 51 28 8 79 21 SE 6 6 3 4 SW13 12848 S 7 77552 G 07/21-17 51 28 8 78 23 SE 5 5 3 4 S13 12624 SE 7 76011 G 07/21-18 59 28 8 77 26 SE 3 3 3 4 S13 12401 SE 7 74470 G 07/21-19 59 28 8 75 28 SE 3 3 3 4 S13 10550 SE 7 64055 G 07/21-20 59 28 8 71 31 E 5 5 2 4 SE15 8699 SE 7 53640 F 07/21-21 52 22 4 67 35 E 5 5 2 3 SE15 6848 SE 7 43225 F 07/21-22 52 22 4 65 38 E 5 5 2 3 SE14 4785 SE 6 29331 P 07/21-23 52 22 4 63 39 NE 5 5 2 3 S13 2722 E 5 15438 P 07/22-00 35 6 1 61 40 NE 5 5 2 1 S10 659 NE 2 1544 P 07/22-01 35 6 1 60 42 E 5 5 2 1 S10 529 N 2 1184 P 07/22-02 35 6 1 58 44 SE 3 3 2 1 S 9 398 W 2 823 P 07/22-03 35 6 1 57 46 S 3 3 2 1 S 9 267 W 2 463 P 07/22-04 35 6 1 56 50 S 3 3 2 1 S 7 257 W 2 541 P 07/22-05 35 6 1 56 52 SW 3 3 2 1 SE 6 247 W 3 620 P 07/22-06 42 8 2 56 54 SW 3 3 2 1 SE 5 237 W 3 698 P 07/22-07 42 8 2 58 53 S 2 2 2 1 SE 5 2522 SW 3 7003 P 07/22-08 42 8 2 62 47 S 2 2 2 1 E 5 4807 SE 3 13308 P 07/22-09 42 8 2 67 40 SE 2 2 2 1 E 6 7093 SE 3 19613 P 07/22-10 42 16 3 71 34 SE 5 5 2 3 E 6 8789 SE 5 36668 P 07/22-11 42 16 3 74 30 E 8 13 2 3 E 5 10486 SE 6 53723 F 07/22-12 59 30 9 76 27 E10 16 2 4 SE 6 12182 SE 7 70778 G 07/22-13 59 30 9 77 26 E12 18 2 4 SE 7 12476 SE 8 82407 G 07/22-14 59 30 9 78 26 E12 20 2 4 S 8 12769 SE 8 94036 G 07/22-15 59 30 9 78 26 E12 18 2 4 SW10 13062 S 9 105665 V 07/22-16 59 30 9 79 27 SE10 16 2 4 S13 12041 S10 107096 V 07/22-17 59 30 9 78 28 SE 8 13 3 4 S15 11021 S12 108527 V 07/22-18 65 33 12 71 37 S 6 6 3 4 S16 10000 S13 109958 V 07/22-19 65 33 12 68 41 S 6 6 3 4 S17 6792 S10 73815 G 07/22-20 65 33 12 64 48 S 5 5 3 4 S17 3584 S 7 37673 P 07/22-21 65 33 12 60 56 S 5 5 3 4 S18 376 S 5 1530 P 07/22-22 65 33 12 58 60 S 5 5 3 4 S20 358 S 5 1351 P 07/22-23 65 33 12 56 63 S 6 6 2 4 S22 341 S 3 1171 P 07/23-00 41 10 2 56 63 S 6 6 2 2 S23 323 S 3 992 P 07/23-01 41 10 2 55 65 S 6 6 2 2 SW23 315 S 5 1110 P 07/23-02 41 10 2 53 67 SW 7 7 2 2 SW23 308 SW 5 1227 P 07/23-03 41 10 2 52 68 SW 7 7 2 2 SW23 300 SW 5 1345 P 07/23-04 41 10 2 52 68 SW 8 8 2 2 SW21 270 SW 6 1326 P 07/23-05 41 10 2 51 68 SW 8 8 2 2 SW18 240 SW 7 1308 P 07/23-06 51 8 2 51 67 SW 8 8 2 1 SW17 209 SW 7 1289 P 07/23-07 51 8 2 53 61 SW 7 7 2 1 SW15 2872 SW 7 12442 P 07/23-08 51 8 2 62 44 SW 5 5 2 1 SW14 5534 SW 6 23595 P 07/23-09 51 8 2 71 32 SW 3 3 2 1 SW14 8196 SW 5 34748 P 07/23-10 51 8 2 76 27 SW 3 3 2 1 SW14 9759 SW 6 48816 F 07/23-11 51 8 2 77 26 S 3 3 2 1 SW14 11322 SW 6 62883 G 07/23-12 62 36 14 77 26 SE 3 3 2 4 SW15 12884 SW 7 76951 G 07/23-13 62 36 14 77 26 SE 5 5 2 4 SW17 12290 S 8 82767 G 07/23-14 62 36 14 75 29 SE 6 6 3 4 SW20 11695 S 9 88584 G 07/23-15 62 36 14 73 31 SE 7 7 3 4 SW21 11101 S10 94400 G 07/23-16 62 36 14 72 34 SE 6 6 3 4 SW20 10108 S 9 85667 G 07/23-17 62 36 14 71 36 SE 3 3 2 4 S20 9115 SE 9 76934 G 07/23-18 72 32 11 69 39 SE 2 2 2 4 S18 8122 SE 9 68201 G 07/23-19 72 32 11 66 44 S 2 2 2 4 S20 5535 S 7 45737 F 07/23-20 72 32 11 63 50 SW 3 3 2 4 S20 2948 SW 5 23272 P 07/23-21 72 32 11 58 59 SW 5 5 2 4 S21 361 W 2 808 P 07/23-22 72 32 11 56 63 SW 5 5 2 4 S21 343 W 2 802 P 07/23-23 72 32 11 55 66 W 5 5 2 4 S20 325 W 2 797 P 07/24-00 57 10 2 54 67 W 5 5 2 2 SW17 306 W 3 792 P 07/24-01 57 10 2 53 70 W 5 5 2 2 SW15 281 W 3 874 P 07/24-02 57 10 2 52 72 W 6 6 2 2 SW12 256 W 5 957 P 07/24-03 57 10 2 51 74 W 6 6 2 2 SW 9 230 W 6 1040 P 07/24-04 57 10 2 50 74 W 6 6 2 2 SW 8 221 W 6 1030 P 07/24-05 57 10 2 50 75 W 6 6 3 2 SW 7 212 W 6 1021 P 07/24-06 57 10 2 50 74 W 6 6 3 2 S 7 202 W 6 1012 P 07/24-07 57 10 2 51 69 W 5 5 3 2 S 7 2209 W 6 9012 P 07/24-08 57 10 2 59 51 NW 5 5 3 2 S 7 4215 W 5 17012 P 07/24-09 57 10 2 68 38 N 3 3 3 2 S 7 6222 W 5 25012 P 07/24-10 57 10 2 72 33 N 2 2 3 2 S 7 8041 W 5 30348 P 07/24-11 57 10 2 73 31 NE 2 2 2 2 S 7 9859 SW 5 35683 P 07/24-12 72 36 14 73 31 CALM 1 2 4 S 7 11678 SW 5 41018 F 07/24-13 72 36 14 73 32 CALM 1 2 4 S 8 10774 SW 5 38844 P 07/24-14 72 36 14 71 36 CALM 1 2 4 SW 9 9871 SW 5 36670 P 07/24-15 72 36 14 70 38 CALM 1 2 4 SW10 8967 SW 5 34496 P 07/24-16 72 36 14 69 41 CALM 1 2 4 SW12 7952 W 5 32395 P 07/24-17 72 36 14 68 43 N 2 2 3 4 SW12 6937 W 5 30294 P 07/24-18 79 37 15 66 46 NW 2 2 3 4 SW12 5922 W 6 28193 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BOB KIGHT REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120721.DERRI.01/BOU