FNUS73 KLBF 211841 FWSLBF SPOT FORECAST FOR FAIRFIELD CREEK FIRE...NEMA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 141 PM CDT SAT JUL 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1231 MDT ON JULY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT TUESDAY... .DISCUSSION... PREVAILING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS AT TIMES TO 25 MPH. WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA/NEBRASKA BORDER AND BE THE FOCUS FOR SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF STRONG WINDS...VARIABLE AT 40 TO 50 MPH...HOWEVER LITTLE RAINFALL IS LIKELY. STORMS MAY MOVE AS FAR SOUTH AS THE WILDFIRE LOCATION. OVERNIGHT WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AND ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH. HOT AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST OF THE WEEK WITH HIGHS CONTINUING TO TOP OUT NEAR OR ABOVE 100. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 106. MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. LAL.................1 INCREASING TO 2 IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 15500-16700 FT AGL AFTER 1300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT. TIME (MDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........31 34 37 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TEMP............101 105 106 RH..............19 16 15 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 9 S 10 S 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..20 25 25 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. LAL.................3 DECREASING TO 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE TO HIGH. MIXING HEIGHT.......14900 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 200 FT AGL AFTER 2200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........40 43 46 49 43 36 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP............103 90 83 80 77 75 RH..............17 34 48 51 56 60 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 10 10 10 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 9 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 EYE LEVEL WIND..20 15 10 10 10 15 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 5 5 5 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 101. MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9000-10600 FT AGL AFTER 1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 33 37 40 44 48 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............73 81 89 95 99 100 RH..............64 47 34 26 23 23 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 5 S 3 S 2 S 2 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6 SW 5 S 3 S 2 S 2 SE 4 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 $$ FORECASTER...MASEK REQUESTED BY...BRENT CURTIS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120721.FAIRF.01/LBF