FNUS75 KMSO 211817
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOOT FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1217 PM MDT SAT JUL 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1101 PDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...TODAY AND THE BEGINNING OF SUNDAY WILL BE FAIRLY
BENIGN UNDER A VERY BRIEF AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE. SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY, HELPING TO WARM
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER RH'S FROM TODAY'S EXPECTED VALUES. THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON,
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.

JUST AS A HEADS-UP: A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH WITH THIS WEATHER
SCENARIO BEING A WINDY ONE, HOWEVER THERE ARE STILL QUESTIONS ON
THE TIMING. STAY TUNED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. A FEW FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS
                    WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AROUND 8-12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...MELISSA OLIVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120721.SHOOT.01/MSO