FNUS75 KRIW 212121 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR FONTENELLE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 321 PM MDT SAT JUL 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1335 MDT ON JULY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTH ACROSS THE FIRE SITE THROUGH MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER COLORADO AND KANSAS. THEREFORE...EXPECT AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURE IS ANTICIPATED FROM DAY-TO-DAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 15 MPH EXCEPT IN ASSOCIATION WITH OUTFLOW FROM SHOWERS OR STORMS. DRIER AIR WILL PUSH INTO WESTERN WYOMING FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL LIMIT THE DEVELOPMENT AND COVERAGE OF SHOWERS OR STORMS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...JONES .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200L. MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-55 AT 8200 FT. 54-57 AT 9700 FT. MAX HUMIDITY........71-74 PERCENT AT 8200 FT. 62-65 PERCENT AT 9700 FT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2100L...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH BY 2300L. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND TO AROUND 25 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200L...THEN LAL 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400L. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-83 AT 8200 FT. 74-77 AT 9700 FT. MIN HUMIDITY........18-21 PERCENT AT 8200 FT. 21-24 PERCENT AT 9700 FT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 0900L... THEN WEST 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400L...THEN LAL 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200L. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-53 AT 8200 FT. 51-54 AT 9700 FT. MAX HUMIDITY........74-77 PERCENT AT 8200 FT. 70-73 PERCENT AT 9700 FT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST 7 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 2000L...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH BY 2200L. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200L...THEN LAL 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400L. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-82 AT 8200 FT. 73-76 AT 9700 FT. MIN HUMIDITY........20-23 PERCENT AT 8200 FT. 25-28 PERCENT AT 9700 FT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 0900L... THEN WEST 7 TO 11 MPH BY 1200L. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400L...THEN LAL 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH AN ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH AN ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...JONES REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL BENTLEY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120721.FONTE.01/RIW