FNUS75 KVEF 220351
FWSVEF

SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTONWOOD...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
851 PM PDT SAT JUL 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2029 PDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SINCE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY BEEN OBSERVED
OVER THE SITE...CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN TO STABLE ENOUGH TO MITIGATE
ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER...THIS CANNOT BE COMPLETELY
RULED OUT...SO WILL GIVE A 15 PERCENT CHANCE OF REDEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT.
SUFFICIENT MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY
WHICH WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED CLOUD COVERAGE AND A GOOD CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT AND FOLLOW TYPICAL UPSLOPE/DOWNSLOPE
PATTERNS...BUT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA WILL CAUSE GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS AT TIMES.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-52 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
  10K FT WIND.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........POOR.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
  10K FT WIND.......SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....8 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 7 KNOTS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........VERY GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120721.COTTO.01/VEF