FNUS75 KCYS 222057
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH CREEK...NSFS CDR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
257 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1444 MDT ON JULY 22.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN THIS WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA. HOT TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE AS WELL WITH A DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BRING GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (68100-79500 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 4-7 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/VALLEY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (2000 KNOT-FT).

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE
                    IN THE  AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (22900-105200 KNOT-FT).

$$

REQUESTED BY...WESTON BURCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120722.ASHCR.04/CYS