FNUS75 KGJT 230319
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF DEN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
919 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1807 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ABUNDANT THROUGH TUESDAY FOR A
REPEAT OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EACH DAY. THERE COULD BE SOME SUBTLE DRYING BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AS THE CENTRAL U.S. HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FLATTENS AND SHIFTS
SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER THIS DRYING WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO SIGNIFICANTLY
REDUCE THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. STRONG AND GUSTY
THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS MAY DOMINATE THE SURFACE FLOW AT TIMES.
THE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING THESE WINDS COULD BE NEARBY...OR
POSSIBLY EVEN AT SOME DISTANCE FROM THE FIRE.

.MONDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY
                    3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 1000.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......650 DECREASING TO 50 LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 100 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. AFTER 1300...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 1000.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...DAVE INGRAM  IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120722.WOLFD.01/GJT