FNUS73 KUNR 221857
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER DAM 2...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1257 PM MDT SUN JUL 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1236 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS...ALONG WITH A PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE.
THESE FEATURES WILL PRODUCE HOT TEMPERATURES AND A DAILY CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.  THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THIS EVENING WILL BE SLIGHTLY
LESS WIDESPREAD THAN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
90S TO AROUND 102 ON THE PLAINS...WITH MID 80S TO MID 90S IN THE
BLACK HILLS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 68.
RH..................MAX 73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................18 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 TO 1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO
                    7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 93.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 TO 10700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 12
                    TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DC
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120722.BEAVE.01/UNR