FNUS75 KABQ 231804
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CERRO DEL AIRE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1204 PM MDT MON JUL 23 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
MONSOON MOISTURE IS IN PLACE...SO DAILY ROUNDS OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES TUESDAY...AND
IT WILL SHIFT THE THUNDERSTORM STEERING FLOW OUT OF THE WEST...AS
OPPOSED TO THE SOUTH TO NORTH STEERING FLOW YOU WILL OBSERVE
TODAY. BECAUSE THE STEERING FLOW WILL COME DIRECTLY OFF THE
MOUNTAINS TO YOUR WEST TUESDAY...THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION. THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS MAY PEAK AROUND 45 MPH
WITH THE STRONGER CELLS BOTH DAYS. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE SHOULD BE
A LITTLE COOLER TUESDAY DUE TO GREATER CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIPITATION.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80-84.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 24-29 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 6 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/54291 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/14959 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/54291 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. PARTLY CLOUDY
                       WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47-51.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 70-75 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/50000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       POOR/3000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR TUESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. BECOMING
                       MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...RISING TO 50
                       PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79-82.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 31-36 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH
                       BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......POOR/37210 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/14119 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING BECOMING POOR/37210
                       KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...44

$$

REQUESTED BY...TDC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120723.CERRO.01/ABQ