FNUS71 KBOX 231342 FWSBOX SPOT FORECAST FOR THE ADJACENT BURN...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 942 AM EDT MON JUL 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND AND INCREASING HUMIDITY TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND TUESDAY. THE HUMID AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR WILL BE ABLE TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZE FLOODING. THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY TODAY WILL BE 50 TO 65 PERCENT. ON TUESDAY IT WILL BE 40 TO 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BLOW 10 TO 20 MPH TODAY AND TUESDAY...WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH TUESDAY. .OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... A COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS DRY AND NEAR SEASONABLE WEATHER WEDNESDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH ON THURSDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW PRESSURE PASSING SOUTH OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 22 MPH EARLY. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (200-16100 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............73 82 79 75 72 74 76 77 WEATHER COV......... ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ ISO ISO ISO ISO TEMP................73 74 74 74 74 74 73 73 RH..................74 74 74 76 76 76 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......5 6 7 9 10 10 10 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 20 20 25 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 13 15 18 21 21 21 22 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.................M M M M M M M M CWR.................10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 VRATE KT-FT/1000....7 13 15 16 16 12 8 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 24 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1300-3100 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............79 80 82 83 83 84 85 85 86 85 84 83 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RNF RNF RNF RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH ISO ISO ISO ISO SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................73 72 72 72 71 71 72 72 72 72 72 73 RH..................79 81 84 84 90 90 90 90 93 93 97 93 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 9 9 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....22 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 24 LVORI...............3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 ADI.................M M M M M M M M M M M M CWR.................20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 40 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CWR.................40 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT...THEN DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (900-6700 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............82 80 79 74 68 62 57 51 51 51 51 53 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH TEMP................73 73 74 75 76 77 78 78 78 78 78 77 RH..................93 93 90 87 85 82 76 74 74 71 71 71 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 25 20 20 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....24 24 25 24 23 22 21 20 18 17 16 15 LVORI...............5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.................M M M M M M M M M M M M CWR.................40 40 50 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30 20 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 1 1 3 4 5 6 6 7 5 3 1 $$ FORECASTER...BELK REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN DEFOREST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120723.THEAD.01/BOX