FNUS75 KCYS 231349
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARDWELL...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
749 AM MDT MON JUL 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0721 MDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SIMILAR CONDITION AT THE FIRE SITE TODAY AS THE PAST FEW DAYS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
LOW TO MID 60S. A FEW SPRINKLES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM MOST THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY OUTFLOW
WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTS 40 OR 50
MPH POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL WEAKEN BY LATE
EVENING...WITH ONLY A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A FEW
                    LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING THEN
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
                    AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 TO 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 0900 OR 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO
                    25 MPH ALONG EXPOSED RIDGE-TOPS.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE ERRATIC
                    WINDS WITH GUSTS OF TO 40 OR 50 MPH POSSIBLE
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 T0 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD BECOMING EXCELLENT THIS AFTERNOON
                    (52300-148200 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN DRY.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 TO 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH
                    ALONG EXPOSED RIDGE-TOP UNTIL 2000...THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT BECOMING POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT
                    (1300-69400 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...LIEBL
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTINE KING
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120723.CARDW.01/CYS