FNUS75 KCYS 231202
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEMINOE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
602 AM MDT MON JUL 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0539 MDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MUCH OF THE SAME CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE FIRE SITE TODAY AS HAS
BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
LOW TO MID 60S. ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. STORM COVERAGE WILL
BE BETTER EAST OF THE FIRE SITE...HOWEVER CANT RULE OUT SOME
ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS PORTION OF CARBON COUNTY. DO NOT
ANTICIPATE MUCH PRECIPITATION TO BE FALLING FROM THIS ACTIVITY.
HOWEVER...ERRATIC GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE
SHOWERS WHICH MAY PRODUCE GUSTS THAT APPROACH 40 OR 50 MPH. THESE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL WEAKEN BY LATE EVENING...WITH JUST
A FEW SHOWERS ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85 TO 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 TO 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 0900 OR
                    1000...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH ALONG EXPOSED RIDGE-TOPS.
                    ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO 40 OR 50 MPH AROUND SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD BECOMING EXCELLENT AFTER NOON
                    (43900-139500 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN DRY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61 TO 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 TO 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH
                    ALONG EXPOSED RIDGE-TOP UNTIL 2000...THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 5 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT UNTIL 2000...THEN ZERO.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT BECOMING POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT
                    (1400-65400 KNOT-FT).

$$

FORECASTER...HAHN
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTINE KING
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120723.SEMIN.01/CYS