FNUS75 KGJT 240130
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR UTE CREEK...GRAND JUNCTION DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
730 PM MDT MON JUL 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1900 MDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM
OVER THE BURN SITE UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...DIMINISHING BY
MIDNIGHT. THE FLOW WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL RESULT IN SOME DRYING IN THE UPPER LAYERS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE BY THE EVENING. HOWEVER THE BURN SHOULD SEE ANOTHER
ROUND OF MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS ABUNDANT
MOISTURE WILL LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...THE DRIER
AIR ALOFT WILL HELP DESTABILIZE THE AIR MASS. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BY WEDNESDAY...THE DRYING
WILL BE MORE EVIDENT...WITH A NOTICEABLE DOWNTURN IN CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%) AFTER MIDNIGHT. NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL AROUND
                    2200...THEN DIMINISHING FOR SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS WILL DOMINATE SURFACE
                    WINDS UNTIL AROUND 2200...WITH VARIABLE OR
                    ERRATIC DIRECTION AND SPEEDS 10-20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 35 MPH. AFTER 2200 WINDS WILL
                    BECOME DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    POSSIBLE FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................5.

.TUESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...
                    THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY...AND
                    INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH AFTER 1400.GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

.TUESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%) BY MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.


$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120723.UTECR.01/GJT