FNUS75 KGJT 240205
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF DEN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
805 PM MDT MON JUL 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1620 MDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FLOW WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL RESULT IN SOME DRYING IN THE UPPER LAYERS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE BY THE EVENING. HOWEVER THE BURN SHOULD SEE ANOTHER
ROUND OF MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS ABUNDANT
MOISTURE WILL LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...THE DRIER
AIR ALOFT WILL HELP DESTABILIZE THE AIR MASS. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE DRYING WILL BECOME MORE
EVIDENT ON WEDNESDAY AS THE FLOW BECOMES NORTHWEST. THEREFORE A
NOTICEABLE DOWNTURN IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED.

.TUESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY
                    3-6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 750 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BETTER MIXING NEAR STORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......50.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY
                    4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 800 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...DAVE INGRAM  IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120723.WOLFD.01/GJT