FNUS73 KLBF 232225 FWSLBF SPOT FORECAST FOR FAIRFIELD CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE 525 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1602 MDT ON JULY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT TUESDAY... .DISCUSSION... ...FOR TONIGHT...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE TO 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE EVENING...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST. WIND SPEEDS AND DIRECTION WILL REMAIN UNCHANGED OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA THIS EVENING WITH THE THREAT ENDING AFTER MIDNIGHT. FOR TUESDAY...HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE LIKELY BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE AROUND 103 WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROPPING DOWN TO AROUND 20 PERCENT FROM 4 TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH BETWEEN 7 PM AND 9 PM CDT TUESDAY EVENING WITH SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH EXPECTED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE INVOF THE FRONT AS WELL WITH DRY THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. MIXING HEIGHT.......15500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 0-300 FT AGL AFTER 2200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 43 41 44 41 38 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............102 91 83 80 77 75 RH..............19 30 41 51 58 62 20 FT WIND......S 8 E 7 E 6 S 6 S 5 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8 E 7 E 6 S 6 S 5 S 3 EYE LEVEL WIND..20 15 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 103. MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 11 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 11 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 INCREASING TO 3 IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2300 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 6200 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 10800 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 14700 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 16300-17200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 14100 FT AGL UNTIL 1800...THEN 10800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........35 35 35 35 48 53 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 80 89 96 100 101 RH..............66 49 35 27 24 22 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 6 S 8 S 8 S 9 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 20 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 3 S 6 S 8 S 8 S 9 SW 7 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 10 15 15 20 15 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 $$ FORECASTER...BUTTLER REQUESTED BY...GLEN LEWIS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120723.FAIRF.03/LBF