FNUS74 KMRX 231423
FWSMRX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK RANGE BURN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1023 AM EDT MON JUL 23 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY HUMID AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN
REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT ENCOURAGING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION
ON TUESDAY WHICH WILL HELP TO INCREASE THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...5500 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..3900 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
DISPERSION..........38.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........50     50     60     60     60
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............78     83     87     88     87
RH..............74     63     55     54     55
20 FT WIND......W 2    W 6    W 7    W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...TOD HYSLOP
REQUESTED BY...RANGER CHUCK HESTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120723.ELKRA.01/MRX