FNUS75 KABQ 241812
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CERRO DEL A...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1212 PM MDT TUE JUL 24 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSING NORTH OF NEW MEXICO TODAY...AND A
WEAK AREA OF LOWER PRESSURE MOVING INTO NEW MEXICO FROM ARIZONA WILL
TRIGGER NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN AT RATES
OVER 1 INCH PER HOUR WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH A
DOWNTICK IN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND LESS INTENSE RAINFALL.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A 500 MB HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERS OVER
OKLAHOMA AND ANOTHER PLUME OF MONSOON MOISTURE MOVES OVER WESTERN
NEW MEXICO.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76-80.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 36-41 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/82044 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/13500 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/82044 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. BECOMING
                       PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT IN THE EVENING. 10 PERCENT AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47-51.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 79-84 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 7 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/80000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       POOR/13500 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR WEDNESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76-80.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 34-39 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 7 MPH BECOMING
                       NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH 10 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/90836 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/78341 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/90836 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...44

$$

REQUESTED BY...KYLE SAHD
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120724.CERRO.01/ABQ