FNUS73 KAPX 241239 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR PERRY ROAD...STATE OF MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 839 AM EDT TUE JUL 24 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON JULY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN...WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT AND OUT OF THE NORTH THROUGH THIS EVENING. WITH THE FLAT ASPECT...NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF LOCAL EFFECTS. FORECASTED TEMPERATURES AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY LOOK TO BE IN LINE WITH CURRENT TEMPERATURE AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY TRENDS THIS MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........76 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (600). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........21 27 26 23 21 18 12 9 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............72 76 78 78 78 79 80 80 RH..............64 55 48 42 39 36 35 35 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 4 5 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......400 400 500 600 600 600 600 500 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........7 3 1 2 4 5 8 14 16 24 38 44 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............80 79 76 72 67 62 59 58 57 56 55 54 RH..............38 43 52 59 65 81 87 86 86 86 86 90 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE E SE SE S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 SMOKE DISP......500 500 400 200 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76. RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX GOOD(400). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........47 54 68 80 100 100 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 65 73 74 71 74 RH..............96 73 57 57 66 62 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 2 S 4 S 5 SE 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 2 SMOKE DISP......0 0 300 300 100 100 $$ FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120724.PERRY.01/APX