FNUS73 KDTX 241256 FWSDTX SPOT FORECAST FOR MALLARD HEAD...MI DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 856 AM EDT TUE JUL 24 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JULY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AFTER A SMALL A CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT DURING THE MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON AND DOMINATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED AIR MASS WILL BE COOLER AND LESS HUMID COMPARED TO MONDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION THIS WEEK WILL BE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND PULLS THE FRONT BACK NORTHWARD THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN...INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 4500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...1000). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........71 66 60 57 53 50 47 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............83 84 85 87 88 88 86 84 RH..............55 53 50 44 39 36 38 43 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N NE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 10 11 12 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 5.9 6.5 6.9 6.8 6.5 5.6 4.5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 VRATE (KT-FT)...700 900 10001000900 800 700 600 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENTILATION RATE....POOR (MIN...100). TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........42 38 34 30 38 46 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............81 75 70 67 67 66 RH..............48 52 56 65 74 84 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..14 12 10 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 1800 900 700 900 1000 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 2 VRATE (KT-FT)...500 300 100 100 100 100 $$ FORECASTER...MOSTEIKO REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120724.MALLA.02/DTX