FNUS73 KDTX 241230
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR POINTE MOUILLEE...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
830 AM EDT TUE JUL 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON JULY 24.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
DOMINATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED AIR MASS WILL BE
COOLER AND LESS HUMID COMPARED TO MONDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION THIS WEEK WILL BE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND PULLS THE FRONT BACK
NORTHWARD THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE IGNITION.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL BY LATE
                    MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...600).

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........38  37  34  32  30  28  25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............80  81  82  82  83  82  80
RH..............49  44  40  36  35  36  39
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..10  11  11  12  12  11  10
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.1
HAINES INDEX....4   3   3   3   3   4   4
VRATE (KT-FT)...600 600 600 600 500 500 500

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL BY LATE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (MIN...0).

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........23     22     21     20     24     29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............78     69     62     59     57     58
RH..............42     52     64     78     84     80
20 FT WIND DIR..NE     E      E      E      SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9      7      6      6      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3700   1500   300    500    400    200
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      3      3
VRATE (KT-FT)...400    100    0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...MOSTEIKO
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120724.POINT.01/DTX