FNUS75 KGJT 241248
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONWAY...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
648 AM MDT TUE JUL 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0632 MDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING AS
TEMPERATURES RISE. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE STORMS WILL DEVELOP
OVER SURROUNDING HIGHER TERRAIN BEFORE NOON...BUT CHANCES ARE MUCH
BETTER IN THE AFTERNOON PERIOD. EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE AROUND THE FIRE SITE...FAVORING THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THERE
IS A CHANCE THAT ONE OR TWO CELLS COULD MOVE DIRECTLY OVER THE
FIRE THOUGH OUTFLOW WIND IMPACTS FROM STORMS IN THE VICINITY IS
MORE PROBABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
    SOUTHWEST AROUND 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    WEST 8 TO 13 MPH BY 1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (8000-50100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 THROUGH 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120724.CONWA.01/GJT