FNUS75 KSLC 242032
FWSSLC

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEELEY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
232 PM MDT TUE JUL 24 2012

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THUS FAR BEEN SQUELCHED BY
STABILITY ALOFT...BUT EXPECTING THIS CAP WILL BREAK OVER THE NEXT
1 TO 2 HOURS ALLOWING RAPID DEVELOPMENT OVER OR IN THE VICINITY
OF THE SEELEY BURN SITE. RETAINING A HIGH LIKELIHOOD FOR WETTING
RAINS AT TIMES IN THE 1600-2200 WINDOW. RIDGE WINDS WILL REMAIN
GUSTY AT TIMES AND FROM A WEST TO SOUTHWEST ORIENTATION WITH
SPEEDS APPROACHING 40 MPH IN EXPOSED LOCALS. A DIURNAL SWITCH TO
EASTERLY CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE MONUMENT SITE OVERNIGHT WITH
SPEED TRENDS DECREASING RAPIDLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TOMORROW BEFORE SHIFTING EAST ON THURSDAY. A NET DRYING TREND
WILL SET UP AS A RESULT WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
OR STORMS AT THE FIRE SITE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG AS THEY ARE THIS AFTERNOON AT MONUMENT
BUT A FEW GUSTS TO 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON...AGAIN
FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST. RH TRENDS WILL BE LOWERING WITH
A SLIGHT WARMING TREND EXPECTED. MORE OF THE SAME FOR THURSDAY
WITH A CONTINUATION OF TRENDS...FURTHER SURFACE DRYING AND
A BIT MORE WARMING. THIS SAID...STILL RETAINING AN ISOLATED
TO WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM THREAT.

.REST OF TODAY...
  LAL.................5.
  HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......780.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
                      OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
  MIN HUMIDITY........51-53 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                      40 MPH ALONG THE HIGHEST RIDGELINES.

.TONIGHT...
  LAL.................5 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 2.
  HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT CLOUD COVER)
                      UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65
                      PERCENT CLOUD COVER). OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A SLIGHT
                      CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
  MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-53.
  MAX HUMIDITY........87-89 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....NORTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH
                      AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...
  LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 2.
  HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......920.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A
                      SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                      THE AFTERNOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
  MIN HUMIDITY........40-42 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                      10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
                      IN THE AFTERNOON.

.OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...
  LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 2.
  HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......790.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A
                      SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                      THE AFTERNOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68.
  MIN HUMIDITY........22-28 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH COMING AROUND TO SOUTH
                      10 TO 20 MPH MIDDAY...THEN TRENDING SOUTHWEST
                      WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AT
                      MONUMENT.




FORECASTER...MERRILL
REQUESTED BY...JACK
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120724.SEELE.02/SLC

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