FNUS73 KUNR 250329
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WITCHER...PINE RIDGE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
929 PM MDT TUE JUL 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1903 MDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE BURN
SITE THIS EVENING...SOME POSSIBLY BECOMING SEVERE WITH VERY
STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST
AND LIGHT...THOUGH MAY BECOME VARIABLE AND GUSTY DUE TO OUTFLOW FROM
VARIOUS THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE AREA.

A SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FOR WEDNESDAY...
BRINGING CLOSER TO AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH HIGHER MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 69.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 89.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 TO 9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...JS
REQUESTED BY...TAMARA J  RANDALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120724.WITCH.01/UNR