FNUS75 KBOU 252328 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RESORT CREEK FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 511 PM MDT WED JUL 25 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL MOVE EAST OF COLORADO THIS EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP UNTIL AROUND 1900...AND PRODUCE ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF RAINFALL. NO THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED IN THE IMMEDIATE AT THE ISSUANCE OF THIS SPOT. CLEARING SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT CAN BE EXPECTED. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LATE DAY STORMS ON THURSDAY WITH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN TODAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1900. MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-54. MAX HUMIDITY........65-68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS 7-13 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN WEST/SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...DECREASING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-82. MIN HUMIDITY........23-27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10200-11200 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-56. MAX HUMIDITY........63-66%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS 5-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0-4 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-85. MIN HUMIDITY........24-28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11400-12400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RESORT CREEK FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/25-17 72 25 5 81 34 NE 9 15 2 3 NW24 10673 NW15 139177 V 07/25-18 56 10 2 80 37 NE 9 15 2 2 NW25 10461 NW15 140415 V 07/25-19 56 10 2 77 40 NE 8 13 2 2 NW24 8474 NW14 107764 V 07/25-20 56 10 2 74 46 NE 6 6 2 2 NW23 6487 N13 75114 G 07/25-21 56 7 1 69 52 NE 5 5 2 1 NW22 4501 N10 42464 F 07/25-22 56 7 1 66 56 E 5 5 2 1 NW22 3174 N 8 28471 P 07/25-23 56 7 1 64 57 S 5 5 2 1 NW22 1847 N 5 14479 P 07/26-00 24 0 0 62 59 SW 5 5 2 1 NW22 520 CALM 486 P 07/26-01 24 0 0 60 62 SW 5 5 2 1 NW22 431 NW 2 574 P 07/26-02 24 0 0 58 64 SW 5 5 2 1 NW22 342 W 2 661 P 07/26-03 24 0 0 57 66 SW 5 5 2 1 NW22 253 SW 3 749 P 07/26-04 24 0 0 56 67 SW 7 7 2 1 NW21 241 SW 5 1043 P 07/26-05 24 0 0 55 66 SW 8 14 2 1 NW20 230 SW 7 1337 P 07/26-06 5 0 0 56 65 W 9 15 2 1 N20 218 W 8 1631 P 07/26-07 5 0 0 57 60 W 7 7 2 1 N18 1852 W 7 8751 P 07/26-08 5 0 0 63 50 W 3 3 2 1 N17 3486 NW 6 15871 P 07/26-09 5 0 0 68 42 CALM 1 2 1 N16 5119 NW 5 22990 P 07/26-10 5 0 0 72 36 CALM 1 2 1 NW15 6963 NW 6 36261 P 07/26-11 5 0 0 75 33 N 3 3 2 1 NW15 8808 NW 6 49531 F 07/26-12 49 20 4 77 31 NE 6 6 2 3 NW14 10652 NW 7 62801 G 07/26-13 49 20 4 79 29 NE 8 8 2 3 NW12 10894 NW 6 50847 F 07/26-14 49 20 4 80 28 E 9 15 2 3 W10 11136 W 5 38892 P 07/26-15 49 20 4 81 28 E10 16 2 3 W 9 11378 W 2 26937 P 07/26-16 49 20 4 81 27 E10 17 2 3 W 9 10887 W 2 24675 P 07/26-17 49 20 4 80 28 NE10 16 2 3 W 9 10396 SW 2 22414 P 07/26-18 48 10 2 79 29 NE 9 15 2 2 W 9 9905 S 2 20152 P 07/26-19 48 10 2 77 32 NE 7 7 2 2 W 8 7402 S 2 14984 P 07/26-20 48 10 2 74 36 NE 5 5 2 2 SW 7 4900 E 2 9816 P 07/26-21 48 10 2 70 41 NE 2 2 2 2 SW 5 2398 E 2 4648 P 07/26-22 48 10 2 67 45 CALM 1 2 2 SW 6 1687 E 2 3161 P 07/26-23 48 10 2 66 49 CALM 1 2 2 S 7 976 CALM 1673 P 07/27-00 27 0 0 63 53 CALM 1 2 1 S 8 265 CALM 186 P 07/27-01 27 0 0 61 57 SW 2 2 2 1 S 9 233 S 2 351 P 07/27-02 27 0 0 60 60 SW 5 5 2 1 SW 9 201 SW 3 515 P 07/27-03 27 0 0 58 63 W 6 6 2 1 SW 8 169 SW 5 680 P 07/27-04 27 0 0 58 66 W 7 7 2 1 SW 8 169 SW 6 777 P 07/27-05 27 0 0 57 66 W 7 7 2 1 SW 8 169 SW 6 874 P 07/27-06 51 0 0 58 65 W 7 7 2 1 W 7 169 SW 7 972 P 07/27-07 51 0 0 59 62 SW 7 7 2 1 W 7 1339 SW 9 15670 P 07/27-08 51 0 0 65 50 SW 8 13 3 1 SW 7 2510 SW12 30368 P 07/27-09 51 0 0 70 42 SW 8 13 3 1 SW 8 3680 SW14 45066 F 07/27-10 51 0 0 75 36 S 8 13 3 1 W 8 6213 SW13 57989 F 07/27-11 51 0 0 78 32 S 8 13 2 1 W 8 8747 SW10 70912 G 07/27-12 75 30 9 80 30 S 8 13 2 4 W 9 11280 SW 8 83836 G 07/27-13 75 30 9 82 29 S 8 14 2 4 W10 11832 SW 9 99377 G 07/27-14 75 30 9 83 28 S 9 14 2 4 W12 12384 SW10 114919 V 07/27-15 75 30 9 84 28 S 9 15 2 4 W13 12936 SW12 130461 V 07/27-16 75 30 9 84 28 S10 16 2 4 W13 12342 SW13 135320 V 07/27-17 75 30 9 83 29 S12 18 2 4 W14 11747 W14 140178 V 07/27-18 70 30 9 82 31 SW12 18 2 4 W13 11153 W15 145037 V 07/27-19 70 30 9 80 33 SW10 16 2 4 W10 8174 W15 105844 V 07/27-20 70 30 9 76 38 SW 8 14 3 4 W 8 5196 W15 66650 G 07/27-21 70 30 9 72 44 SW 7 7 3 4 W 6 2217 W14 27457 P 07/27-22 70 30 9 69 48 SW 7 7 3 4 W 6 1570 W13 19080 P 07/27-23 70 30 9 67 51 SW 7 7 3 4 SW 7 924 W12 10702 P 07/28-00 45 9 2 65 56 SW 8 13 3 1 SW 8 278 W 9 2325 P 07/28-01 45 9 2 63 60 W 8 14 3 1 SW 8 237 W 9 1970 P 07/28-02 45 9 2 61 64 W 9 14 3 1 SW 8 196 W 9 1614 P 07/28-03 45 5 1 60 66 W 9 15 3 1 W 8 156 W 9 1259 P 07/28-04 45 5 1 59 68 W10 16 3 1 W 7 154 W 9 1237 P 07/28-05 45 5 1 59 68 W10 17 3 1 W 7 153 W 9 1215 P 07/28-06 53 5 1 59 66 W10 16 3 1 NW 6 151 W 9 1193 P 07/28-07 53 5 1 61 61 W 7 7 3 1 NW 3 648 W 7 2577 P 07/28-08 53 5 1 65 52 W 3 3 3 1 NW 2 1145 NW 6 3962 P 07/28-09 53 10 2 70 43 CALM 1 3 2 CALM 1641 NW 3 5346 P 07/28-10 53 10 2 74 37 CALM 1 3 2 W 2 4358 N 3 7398 P 07/28-11 53 10 2 77 33 N 2 2 2 2 S 5 7075 N 2 9451 P 07/28-12 78 30 9 78 31 NE 5 5 2 4 S 7 9791 CALM 11503 P 07/28-13 78 30 9 80 30 NE 6 6 2 4 S 9 10387 NE 2 21174 P 07/28-14 78 30 9 81 29 NE 7 7 2 4 S10 10982 E 3 30844 P 07/28-15 78 30 9 82 28 NE 7 7 2 4 S12 11577 SE 3 40514 F 07/28-16 78 30 9 82 28 NE 6 6 2 4 S13 11291 SE 5 40786 F 07/28-17 78 30 9 81 29 NW 3 3 2 4 SE14 11006 SE 5 41058 F 07/28-18 78 28 8 80 30 NW 2 2 2 4 SE14 10720 SE 5 41330 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CAPT MANWARING REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120725.RESOR.01/BOU