FNUS75 KGJT 260443
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARCHULETA...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1043 PM MDT WED JUL 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1413 MDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE SETS UP TO THE WEST ALLOWING WINDS TO
SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH TO THE NORTH. EVEN THOUGH MONSOONAL MOISTURE
EFFECTIVELY SHUTS OFF...RESIDUAL MOISTURE KEEPS THE POSSIBILITY
OF SOME AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE FORECAST TODAY. THE
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST BY FRIDAY ALLOWING MONSOONAL
MOISTURE TO ONCE AGAIN SURGE NORTHWARD. AS SUCH...SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY FRIDAY WITH SOME
GOOD RAIN POSSIBLE OUT OF THE STRONGER STORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 12
                    MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...ARCHULETA IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120725.ARCHU.01/GJT